He hit it this week. The big 5-0. No, I'm not referring to the age — an age that, whatever anyone says, is not the new 30. It's still 50. It's something no one I know looks forward to unless they are ill and afraid they won't make it that far.
The big 5-0 in politics is different. Fifty-percent means that you have, at least at that moment, in that snapshot, assuming the polls are accurate, made the sale. It means that all you have to do is hang on to the people who are already wi ...
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Posted by: Charles
Comment: #1
Fri Sep 5, 2008 10:59 PM
Susan, dear, you are as wrong about Sarah Palin as you were about Hillary winning the Dem nomination. You need to take off your emotional hat and try the analytical one on for size. The polls I'm looking at have McCain ahead, or even. John's also gained 10 points from the independents in only 2 days.
Me thinks you have very much to worry about and Barak must be feeling the heat too, since he now feels the need to hide behind Hillary's skirt, I mean, pants suit.
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Posted by: Olaf
Comment: #2
Fri Sep 5, 2008 12:02 PM
Not sure if this is intentional rhetoric or uninformed reporting. The 50 plateau wasn't hit mid way through the Rep Convention as it's the result of 3 day polling. Look to Thursday-Friday polls to see how the McCain-Palin bounce starts and Monday for the full effect. 50% is 50% though.
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Posted by: Allen Neal Thompson
Comment: #3
Fri Sep 5, 2008 1:26 PM
Susan, you remind me of the song "Wishing will make it so". You are a clever communicator and occasionally coherent, but you cannot fool most of the literate people with an article as full of baloney as this one. Obama is reeling under the sudden attack of reality brought on by Palin. He is being told by millions that he is not devine, infallible, nor does he have a grip on the thoughts and needs of the elecrorate. The ward healer and machine politician from Chicago, with no record worth mentioning now knows that the rest of the country operates on a completely separate way from his district. He is lost and will lose the election.
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Posted by: TIM
Comment: #4
Fri Sep 5, 2008 2:37 PM
Obama did hit 50 for a short time but the race as of today is tied with Mcain trending up. What is interesting is watching main stream media go into apoplexy because their guy is not sealing the deal. Personally, i am not impressed by either candidate, obama is an empty suit who hates america and Mcain is an old suit.
It is sad in this day and age that our media has decided to be so biased as to appear shameless in their zeal for the empty suit. their outright anger at the choice of sarah palin demonstrates the fear they have of an honest tough campaign. I will not vote for either candidate but I fear what will happen to this country is Obama is elected. His presidency will move this country in a dangerous direction(left and socialist), so I guess in a way I must be rooting for Mcain as the lesser of two weak candidates.
Hillary was the best candidate running and she could not get the vp slot.
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Posted by: William Abell, Jr.
Comment: #5
Fri Sep 5, 2008 6:13 AM
Susan your smoking that stuff again. You are beginning to talk just like you did in the early evening hours of 2004. Remember those nasty exit polls? So disappointing!
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Posted by: Topazio
Comment: #6
Fri Sep 5, 2008 6:58 AM
Susan-
You are a disapointment. Try differentiating yourself from the liberal feminazis for once. Paglia did it. By the way, the polls are now back to even. And we haven't gotten to the debates yet.
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Posted by: Lynn
Comment: #7
Fri Sep 5, 2008 7:38 AM
Susan, I am conservative but I do enjoy you on fox. Usually you are fair and balanced. Interesting post today but you should have waited for today's Rasmussen. The gap has closed again and the bounce has just begun.
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Posted by: Peggy
Comment: #8
Fri Sep 5, 2008 7:49 AM
All I can say Susan...Is you are out of touch!
And...wishful thinking!
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Posted by: Ron
Comment: #9
Fri Sep 5, 2008 8:33 PM
err, lemme guess...you're on vacation so you pre-wrote this week's entry.
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Posted by: Robert Underwood
Comment: #10
Fri Sep 5, 2008 9:17 AM
After hearing Sarah Palin's speech at the RNC two days ago, for the first time I was worried. Her selection for VP stinks of Karl Rove. Here was a snarky, Ann V Coulter wannabe, who would surely turn out the wing-nut base of the Republican party. With the polls being so close, and the usual Republican shenanigans at the voting booths, this could be just enough to put them over the top.
Then I heard John McCain's speech last night and I was reassured the Republicans have painted themselves into a corner with the Palin pick. Ever since the 2004 election, I have maintained the best advertising Democrats could do would be to simply re-air the Republican ads on Country radio stations in urban markets. There would not be a single undecided moderate voter in America. Ever since Goldwater's landslide 1964 loss, they have been careful to trot out nothing but moderate "we're just folks" pablum at convention time like McCains acceptance speech. They could reach the true believers by AM radio.
Sarah Palin changes this dynamic too, once people get to know her, they will realize that just like Goldwater, in your guts you know she's nuts!
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Posted by: Bill Taylor
Comment: #11
Fri Sep 5, 2008 9:43 PM
OMG I am really scared that this Sara is going to just kill my Obama. What to do? I write something that makes it looks like Obama is pulling ahead to make me feel better. I'll drink some Kool Aid that I mixed with the magic dust of hubris and wishful thinking. Did I say OMG, we don't believe in God, Ok I meant Oh My Goodness. Yes I am good. The Kool Aid is kicking in. Is that my voice that sounds like a screeching witch. OMG please help us liberals because if McCain wins Rush Limbaugh will laugh at us again.
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Posted by: Soleil
Comment: #12
Mon Sep 8, 2008 10:04 AM
Good Morning, Susan!
You look great and it appears you now have your health in check?!
Yes, it is true that you are far more fair to Sarah Palin or John McCain than any of the Republican hosts and pundits have been to either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton. All one has to do is scan the arrogant and rude conservative posts on here to see why the pro Obama-Biden bloggers are enraged over the fact this inexperienced right-wing candidate - Sarah Palin - could be in the Oval Office should anything occur with John McCain's health and in all likelihood he will not make it through his first term. As several have inferred on the cable channels, she may be a genius politician but doesn't have the innate grey matter or the varied higher education to run the largest country in the world in the 21st Century.
Regarding the NBC sanction of Matthews and Olbermann, Fox News could use a house-cleaning from here until Inauguraton Day, i.e. HANNITY should be put at the top of the list for disposal. As a supposed "Christian", I don't know how he can live with himself!
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Posted by: bernie saunders
Comment: #13
Mon Sep 8, 2008 10:55 AM
Re: The Election
Everyone is getting all bent out of shape over McSAMES slight bounce.......enjoy the MOMENT since its just
that. Wait til the investigation is completed re Palin's abuse of power, her extramartial affair, her lies about
the e.bay SALE, he lies about the Bridge to know where...we have another DICK lying CHANEY/BUSH in the
making.....AMERICAN's are not as stupid as the GOP thinks we are. I know Hillary Clinton and Palin is
no H C. I rest my case. WELCOME PRESIDENT OBAMA
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Posted by: Bob Davis
Comment: #14
Mon Sep 8, 2008 11:20 AM
Re: Ed
What do The Democrats know about picking a VP Last time they thougth John Edwards was a great pick
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Posted by: Ed
Comment: #15
Mon Sep 8, 2008 12:49 PM
I am curious if someone can explain, with George Bush's absolutely horrible approval ratings, and Obama is supposedly the greatest thing since sliced bread to come along in politics, why is Obama not running away with this race?
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Posted by: Btruce
Comment: #16
Mon Sep 8, 2008 4:58 PM
Thought I'd pile on. Today, Monday sees more of the same for McCain and Palin. Upward trending, conservative base energized and I would surmise that the Clinton partisans now feel comfortable coming out of the closet and letting Obama know just what they really think of him.
That's what the Democrats get for selecting someone with absolutely no experience at any level and with no accomplishments to sell the electorate. Facts are dangerous things.
A bit of advice, Susan. Start thinking and writing with a more long term thesis in mind. Expressing optimism with a couple of polls for your guy and before the end of the Republican convention was over is tantamount to wishful thinking, not journalism.
Bruce
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Posted by: Ed
Comment: #17
Mon Sep 8, 2008 6:40 AM
I am curious, now that McCain has hit the big '5-0', is it just as signficant?
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Posted by: April Myers
Comment: #18
Mon Sep 8, 2008 7:11 PM
I don't know anyone that thinks it is okay to partially deliver a baby and then stab it in the back of the head and suck out the brains. But Obama does. Take a butterfly, a beautiful butterfly, flapping its wings . . . put it in a blender. Then start the blender. Abortion is worse.
But even if Sarah was pro-choice, I would vote for her. She's gotten where she's at on her own, not on the coat-tails of a husband. She's supportive of the military. She can gut a caribou. She's broke all her fingers on a fishing boat. And Sarah Barracuda hasn't sat in an America-hating church for 20 years. That's a big plus, too.
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Posted by: franco
Comment: #19
Mon Sep 8, 2008 9:18 AM
Susan, you live in a fantasy, as you did when you worked for Dukakis. Of course Gov Palin is no Hillary Clinton. Hillary never ran anything and made her way tugging at the coattails of Clinocchio!!
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Posted by: cadbury
Comment: #20
Sat Sep 6, 2008 2:26 PM
Well that didn't last long. Methinks Obama may rue the day he didn't sign up Hillary. I have to say that I'm excited about having a woman on a ticket--if not my preferred one. Amazingly, it's been 24 years since the Dems did it. If having 18 million votes wasn't enough for a woman to get the nod, what would it take?
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Posted by: Kathaleen McCausland
Comment: #21
Sat Sep 6, 2008 3:33 PM
Susan, As you can see by the posting your article did not do what you want it to. Did you get your hand smacked by the democratic party with your last article that was so honest and truthful. I can not believe how low the democrats have stooped (I was one but now independent) to pull Sarah Palin's children into this. Bill Maher and his joke about Sarah's infant who was born with special needs. You don't have to agree with the person but you don't have to put out such hateful signals a to win an election. That shows how power and greed are important and not the American people. How low will they go!!! SHAME. God is watching us.
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Posted by: barry1817
Comment: #22
Sun Sep 7, 2008 3:12 PM
I guess you were too quick with your column because all the polls out today are far different than what you were citing, and in some they had McCain Palin up by more than the margin of error.
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Posted by: cadbury
Comment: #23
Tue Sep 9, 2008 2:15 PM
Girlfriend, this is ancient history already. Time to update your analysis!
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Posted by: Bertram
Comment: #24
Tue Sep 9, 2008 4:14 PM
Time to write another column, Susan, don't you think? Or are waiting for the shell shock to wear off?
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Posted by: El Papa
Comment: #25
Tue Sep 9, 2008 8:24 PM
Susan, this week your emotions blinded your analysis and obviously that is why you got it so wrong. I hope your next column reflects a less skewed analysis and perhaps an amendment to this week's fumble. You knew better to go with what we all could see that was happening vs using a simple statistic that came at a time when all the signs were pointing the other way. Still, I want to let you know that I enjoy your writings even though we disagree in political affiliation. Give us your real thoughts on what Palin is doing to this race and how you see her roll if she becomes the next VP.
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